Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 10.056181 11.832009 13.780799 16.071535 18.683567 21.562064 24.966951
2025-04-20 7.470157 9.968798 13.008186 16.943411 21.865837 27.779181 35.375244
2025-04-27 6.065349 8.940856 12.729980 18.007890 25.075578 34.108831 46.404844
2025-05-04 4.938658 7.937291 12.168892 18.435483 27.310157 39.233567 56.226212
2025-05-11 4.000816 6.963291 11.412792 18.372542 28.724854 43.246222 64.766783
2025-05-18 3.231912 6.068249 10.585477 18.017549 29.577340 46.431781 72.291092
2025-05-25 2.628778 5.309087 9.822235 17.606905 30.223646 49.277668 79.438177
2025-06-01 2.149653 4.660757 9.121680 17.168685 30.721940 51.866418 86.305177
2025-06-08 1.698727 3.965671 8.221135 16.254135 30.314632 52.967339 90.909920
2025-06-15 1.541596 3.813382 8.264052 16.962324 32.636503 58.504013 102.740982
2025-06-22 1.364091 3.581131 8.117471 17.298155 34.327573 63.107350 113.337885
2025-06-29 1.131198 3.175986 7.567921 16.805321 34.490021 65.155532 119.862243
2025-07-06 0.885945 2.699020 6.826886 15.913811 33.965436 66.213351 125.209413
2025-07-13 0.809875 2.625386 6.943753 16.776821 36.847229 73.485758 141.742399
2025-07-20 0.753823 2.590727 7.141705 17.832012 40.198367 81.836297 160.685762
2025-07-27 0.665804 2.443637 7.052519 18.255952 42.336305 88.126273 176.378368
2025-08-03 0.565459 2.230304 6.763355 18.193530 43.472844 92.626736 189.120923
2025-08-10 0.468622 1.995739 6.373938 17.841526 43.958779 95.909753 199.813470
2025-08-17 0.386196 1.779268 5.986994 17.434350 44.272163 98.859035 210.034398
2025-08-24 0.317010 1.582922 5.613123 16.999843 44.469197 101.571397 219.940387
2025-08-31 0.246755 1.351825 5.086268 16.093087 43.499064 101.848872 225.155979
2025-09-07 0.228374 1.325244 5.169884 16.795236 46.295567 110.005994 246.186899
2025-09-14 0.203338 1.260008 5.119487 17.128215 48.249363 116.525480 264.307748